UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
Toronto, Canada
22 Sept 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Pokrajac
49%
Magalhaes
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:14
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pokrajac
This is a genuine toss-up — Pokrajac at 51% vs Magalhaes at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pokrajac has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pokrajac's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Magalhaes has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pokrajac
Magalhaes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pokrajac
Magalhaes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.6
13.8
43.2
Performance Avg
37.7
50
Quality of Victory
50
33
Momentum Score
13
Pokrajac
Magalhaes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
23%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Pokrajac
Magalhaes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pokrajac
Magalhaes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/41 fights
Chin rating based on
5/23 fights
Pokrajac
Magalhaes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
13
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Pokrajac
Magalhaes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pokrajac
Magalhaes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
PokrajacMagalhaes
Strike Zones
Pokrajac
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMagalhaes
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pokrajac targets the body (50% of attacks) — Magalhaes absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Magalhaes targets the body (67% of attacks) — Pokrajac absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pokrajac
RND
Magalhaes
0/0R00/0
Pokrajac · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Magalhaes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Pokrajac · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · 2016-04
L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway · 2014-12
L · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · Dec · R3
Ryan JimmoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Joey BeltranUFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
Magalhaes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony PeroshRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
W · Sub · R2
Igor PokrajacRating 5.2Submission
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Dec · R3
Eliot MarshallRating 5.5Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
L · KO · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12