UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva
Stockholm, Sweden
14 Apr 2012
Welterweight
VS
53%
Johnson
47%
Maguire
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:40
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Johnson
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 53% vs Maguire at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson
Maguire
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Maguire
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
16.0
48.7
Performance Avg
38.3
55
Quality of Victory
37
59
Momentum Score
50
Johnson
Maguire
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
2
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
5Ground1
Johnson
Maguire
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Maguire
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/30 fights
Chin rating based on
5/33 fights
Johnson
Maguire
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
50
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Johnson
Maguire
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Maguire
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
JohnsonMaguire
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMaguire
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Maguire absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Maguire targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Maguire
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Maguire · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Mike SwickRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
John MaguireRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · KO · R1
Clay HarvisonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
L · KO · R2
Amir SadollahRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
Maguire · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mitch ClarkeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
L · Dec · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
John HathawayRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Sub · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Justin EdwardsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11