METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Charlotte, USA
13 May 2023
Heavyweight
VS
60%
Williams
40%
Sherman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karl WilliamswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chase Sherman · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Williams
→
Actual result
Williams wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Williams holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Sherman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sherman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Striking split: Sherman throws more volume but Williams connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sherman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WilliamsSherman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Williams
Sherman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
79"+
Reach
78"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Sherman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.6
30.1
45.0
Performance Avg
38.4
25
Quality of Victory
46
78
Momentum Score
46
Williams
Sherman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
2.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
15
2
Body
9
4
Leg
6
RangeRange
28Distance23
0Clinch7
0Ground0
Williams
Sherman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Sherman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
15/28 fights
Williams
Sherman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
46
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Williams
Sherman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Williams
Sherman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
9.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
WilliamsSherman
Strike Zones
Williams
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedSherman
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (79% of attacks) — Sherman absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Sherman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Williams
RND
Sherman
0/0R00/0
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Sherman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Williams · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Jhonata DinizRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Justin TafaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Chase ShermanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
Sherman · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karl WilliamsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · KO · R3
Jared VanderaaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Sub · R1
Jake CollierRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01