UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
Atlanta, USA
21 Apr 2012
Bantamweight
VS
37%
Torres
63%
McDonald
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McDonald
McDonald holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Torres has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McDonald has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Torres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McDonald has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Torres
McDonald
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
70"
45
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Torres
McDonald
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.2
22.0
35.0
Performance Avg
53.6
25
Quality of Victory
45
50
Momentum Score
100
Torres
McDonald
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.1
40%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
1
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance14
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Torres
McDonald
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Torres
McDonald
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/53 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Torres
McDonald
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R4
Torres
McDonald
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Torres
McDonald
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
TorresMcDonald
Strike Zones
Torres
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedMcDonald
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Torres targets the head (75% of attacks) — McDonald absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯McDonald targets the head (81% of attacks) — Torres absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Torres
RND
McDonald
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Torres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
McDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Torres · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Michael McDonaldRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nick PaceRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
L · Dec · R3
Demetrious JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Antonio BanuelosRating 4.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
McDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
John LinekerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Sub · R2
Masanori KaneharaRating 5.2Submission
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
L · Sub · R2
Urijah FaberRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
W · Sub · R2
Brad PickettRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonnen · 2013-08
L · Sub · R4
Renan BaraoRating 3.4Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02