Manel Kape vs Kyoji Horiguchi — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Las Vegas, USA

20 Jun 2026

Flyweight

55%

Kape

45%

Horiguchi

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 3 · 2:42

Manel Kape

"StarBoy"

22 – 7

5'5"68" reachSouthpaw32 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 73

Kyoji Horiguchi

"Karate Kid"

36 – 5

Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'4"

CFR 61

★ Official Result

Manel KapewinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:42

def. Kyoji Horiguchi · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Kape

Manel Kape by TKO, Round 2. His striking evolution since 2017 has been substanti…

→

Actual result

Kape wins

KO/TKO · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Nine years on, Kape wants revenge for the submission loss that haunted his early career.

When these two first met at RIZIN in December 2017, Horiguchi submitted Kape with an arm-triangle in the third round, a result that sent the Angolan back to the drawing board. Since then, Kape has rebuilt himself into one of the UFC flyweight division's most dangerous strikers, earning a ranking of No. 2 with a 71% finish rate that few 125-pounders can match. Horiguchi, for his part, has lost non…

Kape intel

Kape enters on a strong run after consecutive performances in the top-five range. His striking output is the most feared in the flyweight division and his finish rate of 71% backs that up. The main concern is his grappling defense when taken down by a specialist.

Horiguchi intel

Horiguchi arrives at a momentum score of 100, suggesting he is fighting at his very best. The 2017 submission win over Kape remains fresh in both men's minds, and he has shown no signs of ring rust. His veteran composure in championship-caliber bouts is a major asset.

Key angles

Can Kape avoid the takedown and make this a striking contest?

Horiguchi's grappling chain from clinch to trip to submission

Kape's power — one clean shot could change everything at 125 lbs

Momentum: Horiguchi is at career-peak form heading in

Risk flags

Horiguchi has already beaten Kape once and knows how to manage his striking

Kape's grappling defense remains a known weakness

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

KapeHoriguchi

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Kape

Horiguchi

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'5"+

Height

5'4"

68"+

Reach

63"

32+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Kape

Horiguchi

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

72.8

60.6

65.8

Performance Avg

53.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Kape

Horiguchi

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.9

/ 10

3.9

/ 10

7.4

Style: Pressure

4.8

3.5

Style: Volume

7.0

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

6Distance8

0Clinch0

6Ground0

Kape

Horiguchi

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.6

/ 10

2.5

/ 10

0.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.1

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Kape

Horiguchi

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R3.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

11/29 fights

Chin rating based on

11/41 fights

Kape

Horiguchi

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · KO · R3

W · KO · R1

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R3

W · Dec · R3

Kape

Horiguchi

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kape

Horiguchi

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

8.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.9

0.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.5

0.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.1

7.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.8

3.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.0

Kape

Strike Zones

Horiguchi

Kape

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Horiguchi

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Kape targets the head (83% of attacks) — Horiguchi absorbs 83% of strikes there

🎯Horiguchi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kape

RND

Horiguchi

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Kape · Last 5

W · KO · R3

Kyoji Horiguchi

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · KO · R1

Brandon Royval

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

W · KO · R3

Asu Almabayev

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

W · KO · R3

Bruno Silva

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

L · Dec · R3

Muhammad Mokaev

Decision

UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Horiguchi · Last 5

L · KO · R3

Manel Kape

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06

W · Dec · R3

Amir Albazi

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02

W · Sub · R3

Tagir Ulanbekov

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Ali Bagautinov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11

W · Dec · R3

Neil Seery

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05

News & Media

Manel Kape · Kyoji Horiguchi

← Back to fights