UFC 69: Shootout
Houston, USA
7 Apr 2007
Middleweight
VS
45%
Grove
55%
Belcher
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:42
KG
Kendall Grove
"Da Spyder"
23 – 17
6'6"79" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
AB
Alan Belcher
"The Talent"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'2"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Belcher

This is a genuine toss-up — Grove at 45% vs Belcher at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Belcher throws more volume but Grove connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Grove's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Belcher has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Grove
Belcher
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'6"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
75"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Grove
Belcher
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.0
22.4
53.6
Performance Avg
53.0
53
Quality of Victory
48
52
Momentum Score
100
Grove
Belcher
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
0
3
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance5
9Clinch0
8Ground0
Grove
Belcher
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Grove
Belcher
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
58
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/40 fights
Chin rating based on
15/26 fights
Grove
Belcher
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Grove
Belcher
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
78%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Grove
Belcher
Striking3.9 / 5.6Volume4.5 / 2.1Grappling3.3 / 2.9Wrestling2.3 / 2.0Submission2.9 / 3.3Pressure5.6 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Grove
Strike Zones
Belcher
Grove
Attacking
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD3BODY2LEGS5 absorbed
Belcher
Attacking
0HEAD3BODY2LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD3BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Grove targets the head (88% of attacks) — Belcher absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Belcher targets the body (60% of attacks) — Grove absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Grove
RND
Belcher
0/0R00/0

Grove · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.7W5.0W5.2W1.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.5L2006-062008-012009-112011-05
WinLossTrend

Belcher · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.5W2.8L5.0W4.2W1.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.5L5.5L2006-082007-102009-072012-052013-04
WinLossTrend

Grove · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · Dec · R3
Goran ReljicRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · KO · R2
Mark MunozRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Sub · R1
Jake RosholtRating 5
Submission
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11

Belcher · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
W · KO · R1
Rousimar PalharesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R2
Patrick CoteRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05

News & Media

Kendall Grove · Alan Belcher
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