UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Middleweight
VS
58%
Gautier
42%
Pulyaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Ateba
Ateba Gautier
"The Storm"
11 – 1
6'4"81" reachSwitch24 yrs5-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 78
Andrey
Andrey Pulyaev
10 – 4
Knockout Artist28 yrsSouthpaw78" reach6'4"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gautier

This is a genuine toss-up — Gautier at 58% vs Pulyaev at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gautier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Gautier
Pulyaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
81"+
Reach
78"
24+
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Gautier
Pulyaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
78.0
56.1
71.2
Performance Avg
46.3
52
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
52
Gautier
Pulyaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
0.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
48%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
7
4
Body
7
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
11Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gautier
Pulyaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Gautier
Pulyaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Gautier
Pulyaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Gautier
Pulyaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gautier
Pulyaev
Striking10.0 / 10.0Volume3.6 / 0.7Grappling0.5 / 0.0Wrestling0.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Gautier
Strike Zones
Pulyaev
Gautier
Attacking
7HEAD4BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD7BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Pulyaev
Attacking
7HEAD7BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD4BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gautier targets the head (64% of attacks) — Pulyaev absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Pulyaev targets the head (44% of attacks) — Gautier absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gautier
RND
Pulyaev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gautier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W5.6W5.0W5.6W5.2W2025-032025-072025-102026-012026-05
WinLossTrend

Pulyaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.6
0107.0L5.2W7.7L2025-032025-082026-01
WinLossTrend

Gautier · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Ozzy DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Andrey PulyaevRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R1
Tre'ston VinesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Robert ValentinRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Jose Daniel MedinaRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03

Pulyaev · Last 4

Upcoming
Nursulton Ruziboev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Ateba GautierRating 7.7
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Nick KleinRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

News & Media

Ateba Gautier · Andrey Pulyaev
← Back to fights