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UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen
San Antonio, USA
25 Mar 2023
Bantamweight
VS
44%
Vera
56%
Sandhagen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Marlon
Marlon Vera
"Chito"
23 – 12
5'8"70" reachSwitch33 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Cory
Cory Sandhagen
18 – 6
Well-Rounded34 yrsSwitch70" reach5'11"
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Cory SandhagenwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Marlon Vera · UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sandhagen
→
Actual result
Sandhagen wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Vera at 44% vs Sandhagen at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Vera has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
VeraSandhagen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Vera
Sandhagen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
70"
33+
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Switch
Vera
Sandhagen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.4
64.2
50.4
Performance Avg
53.8
46
Quality of Victory
44
39
Momentum Score
100
Vera
Sandhagen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
44%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
14
5
Body
4
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance21
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Vera
Sandhagen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vera
Sandhagen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/35 fights
Chin rating based on
17/24 fights
Vera
Sandhagen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Vera
Sandhagen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
55%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vera
Sandhagen
Striking5.8 / 5.9Volume3.3 / 4.3Grappling2.8 / 1.6Wrestling1.9 / 1.1Submission2.7 / 0.9Pressure6.9 / 5.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Vera
Strike Zones
Sandhagen
Vera
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Sandhagen
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vera targets the head (43% of attacks) — Sandhagen absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Sandhagen targets the head (64% of attacks) — Vera absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vera
RND
Sandhagen
0/0R00/0

Vera · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.5L5.2W6.3L4.5W5.5W5.3W5.5L5.7L5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.5W6.8L6.5W6.0L5.3W5.5W5.7W5.4W7.0L5.0W7.0L6.6L6.6L7.2L2014-112018-022020-082023-082026-02
WinLossTrend

Sandhagen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.2W5.2W6.1W4.5W4.5W2.5L5.1W5.0W5.6L7.0L5.7W5.3W5.7W6.8L6.2W6.8L2018-012019-082021-072023-082025-10
WinLossTrend

Vera · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
David MartinezRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 7
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08

Sandhagen · Last 5

Upcoming
Mario Bautista
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · KO · R2
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

News & Media

Marlon Vera · Cory Sandhagen
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