UFC 68: The Uprising
Columbus, USA
3 Mar 2007
Middleweight
VS
51%
Franklin
49%
MacDonald
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Franklin
This is a genuine toss-up — Franklin at 51% vs MacDonald at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Franklin throws more volume but MacDonald connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Franklin's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
MacDonald has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Franklin
MacDonald
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
+80"
51
Age
+50
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Franklin
MacDonald
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
17.3
57.9
Performance Avg
48.8
50
Quality of Victory
53
50
Momentum Score
52
Franklin
MacDonald
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
51%
7.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
8 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
23Ground1
Franklin
MacDonald
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Franklin
MacDonald
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/36 fights
Chin rating based on
14/41 fights
Franklin
MacDonald
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Franklin
MacDonald
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Franklin
MacDonald
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
FranklinMacDonald
Strike Zones
Franklin
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMacDonald
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Franklin targets the head (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯MacDonald targets the body (50% of attacks) — Franklin absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Franklin
RND
MacDonald
0/0R00/0
Franklin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
MacDonald · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Franklin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Cung LeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
MacDonald · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Tom LawlorRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
W · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 5Submission
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
L · KO · R1
John SalterRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04