METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 73: Stacked
Sacramento, USA
7 Jul 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Bonnar
57%
Nickels
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:14
★ Official Result
Stephan BonnarwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:14
def. Mike Nickels · UFC 73: Stacked
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nickels
→
Actual result
Bonnar wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bonnar at 43% vs Nickels at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nickels has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Nickels has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Bonnar's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BonnarNickels
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bonnar
Nickels
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"
Reach
49+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonnar
Nickels
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
21.9
45.2
Performance Avg
52.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
48
Momentum Score
71
Bonnar
Nickels
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
4.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bonnar
Nickels
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonnar
Nickels
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Bonnar
Nickels
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
71
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Bonnar
Nickels
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonnar
Nickels
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BonnarNickels
Strike Zones
Bonnar
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedNickels
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonnar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nickels absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nickels targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonnar
RND
Nickels
0/0R00/0
Bonnar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Nickels · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Bonnar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Nickels · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Stephan BonnarRating 1.5Submission
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · Sub · R1
Wes CombsRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · 2006-06