METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 73: Stacked
Sacramento, USA
7 Jul 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Bonnar
57%
Nickels
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:14
★ Official Result
Stephan BonnarwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:14
def. Mike Nickels · UFC 73: Stacked
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nickels
→
Actual result
Bonnar wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Bonnar at 43% vs Nickels at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Nickels has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Bonnar's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BonnarNickels
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Bonnar
Nickels
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"
Reach
49+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonnar
Nickels
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
21.9
45.2
Performance Avg
52.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
48
Momentum Score
71
Bonnar
Nickels
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
8.5
5.1
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bonnar
Nickels
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Bonnar
Nickels
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Bonnar
Nickels
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
71
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Bonnar
Nickels
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bonnar
Nickels
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
BonnarNickels
Strike Zones
Bonnar
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedNickels
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bonnar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nickels absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nickels targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bonnar
RND
Nickels
0/0R00/0
Bonnar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaKO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyDecision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiKO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiUFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Nickels · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Stephan BonnarSubmission
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · Sub · R1
Wes CombsSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · 2006-06