UFC 73: Stacked
Sacramento, USA
7 Jul 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Bonnar
57%
Nickels
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:14
SB
Stephan Bonnar
"The American Psycho"
15 – 9
6'4"79" reachOrthodox49 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
MN
Mike Nickels
9 – 5
Submission Hunter54 yrsOrthodox6'4"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nickels

This is a genuine toss-up — Bonnar at 43% vs Nickels at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Nickels has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Nickels has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bonnar's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bonnar
Nickels
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
79"
Reach
49+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Bonnar
Nickels
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
21.9
45.2
Performance Avg
52.4
40
Quality of Victory
54
48
Momentum Score
71
Bonnar
Nickels
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
4.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Bonnar
Nickels
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bonnar
Nickels
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/14 fights
Bonnar
Nickels
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
71
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Bonnar
Nickels
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bonnar
Nickels
Striking3.6 / 1.0Volume5.1 / 1.0Grappling3.2 / 8.0Wrestling2.2 / 5.6Submission2.5 / 10.0Pressure5.1 / 8.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
Bonnar
Strike Zones
Nickels
Bonnar
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Nickels
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bonnar targets the head (50% of attacks) — Nickels absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Nickels targets the head (50% of attacks) — Bonnar absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bonnar
RND
Nickels
0/0R00/0

Bonnar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W5.2W7.3L5.5L5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W1.5L2005-042006-062009-012010-122012-10
WinLossTrend

Nickels · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W1.5L2006-062007-07
WinLossTrend

Bonnar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Anderson SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Igor PokrajacRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale · 2010-12
W · KO · R2
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · R3
Krzysztof SoszynskiRating 5.5
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Nickels · Last 2

L · Sub · R1
Stephan BonnarRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 73: Stacked · 2007-07
W · Sub · R1
Wes CombsRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · 2006-06

News & Media

Stephan Bonnar · Mike Nickels
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