UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Rosa
53%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Karol
Karol Rosa
19 – 7
5'5"67" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Ailin
Ailin Perez
"Fiona"
13 – 2
Well-Rounded6-fight win streak31 yrsSwitch66" reach5'5"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Perez

This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 47% vs Perez at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rosa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Rosa
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
66"
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Rosa
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
54.8
41.7
Performance Avg
52.2
25
Quality of Victory
30
80
Momentum Score
75
Rosa
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
55%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
5
Body
4
13
Leg
16
RangeRange
23Distance33
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Rosa
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Rosa
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
75
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Rosa
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rosa
Perez
Striking1.3 / 1.7Volume9.3 / 8.4Grappling2.4 / 3.3Wrestling1.7 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure2.0 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Rosa
Strike Zones
Perez
Rosa
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY13LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD4BODY16LEGS33 absorbed
Perez
Attacking
13HEAD4BODY16LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY13LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rosa
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0

Rosa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.9W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.0L4.6W6.3L4.5W6.5L5.2W2019-082021-102023-042024-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Perez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0103.7L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.3W5.2W5.8W2022-092023-112024-092026-02
WinLossTrend

Rosa · Last 5

Upcoming
Luana Santos
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Nora CornolleRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12

Perez · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Daria ZhelezniakovaRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Lucie PudilovaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11

News & Media

Karol Rosa · Ailin Perez
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