METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Women's Bantamweight
VS
45%
Rosa
55%
Perez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Ailin PerezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Karol Rosa · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Perez
→
Actual result
Perez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Rosa at 45% vs Perez at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RosaPerez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rosa
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
66"
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Rosa
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
54.8
39.6
Performance Avg
52.2
25
Quality of Victory
30
65
Momentum Score
75
Rosa
Perez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.9
Style: Pressure
3.7
9.2
Style: Volume
8.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
5
Body
4
13
Leg
16
RangeRange
23Distance33
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Rosa
Perez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rosa
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Rosa
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
75
Current form
6-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Rosa
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
17%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rosa
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
9.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
RosaPerez
Strike Zones
Rosa
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedPerez
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rosa targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the legs (48% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 48% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rosa
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Nora CornolleDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
Perez · Last 5
Upcoming
Norma DumontUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
W · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Daria ZhelezniakovaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06