UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Welterweight
VS
26%
Witt
74%
Rowe
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rowe
Rowe is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rowe has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Rowe has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Witt's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Witt
Rowe
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+80"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Witt
Rowe
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
57.0
35.7
Performance Avg
49.3
37
Quality of Victory
53
45
Momentum Score
52
Witt
Rowe
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.6
43%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch1
1Ground2
Witt
Rowe
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Witt
Rowe
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Witt
Rowe
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Witt
Rowe
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Witt
Rowe
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
WittRowe
Strike Zones
Witt
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRowe
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Witt targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rowe absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rowe targets the head (100% of attacks) — Witt absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Witt
RND
Rowe
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Witt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Rowe · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Witt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh QuinlanRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Phil RoweRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R2
Cole WilliamsRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
Rowe · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R3
Ange LoosaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06