METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Welterweight
VS
26%
Witt
74%
Rowe
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:15
★ Official Result
Phil RowewinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:15
def. Jason Witt · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rowe
→
Actual result
Rowe wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Rowe is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Rowe has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Witt's chin rating of 12 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WittRowe
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Witt
Rowe
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+80"
39
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Witt
Rowe
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
57.0
35.7
Performance Avg
49.3
37
Quality of Victory
53
45
Momentum Score
52
Witt
Rowe
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
8.3
4.7
Style: Volume
0.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch1
1Ground2
Witt
Rowe
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Witt
Rowe
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
12
90
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/28 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Witt
Rowe
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Witt
Rowe
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Witt
Rowe
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
WittRowe
Strike Zones
Witt
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedRowe
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Witt targets the head (60% of attacks) — Rowe absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Rowe targets the head (100% of attacks) — Witt absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Witt
RND
Rowe
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Witt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh QuinlanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Phil RoweKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Matthew SemelsbergerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R2
Cole WilliamsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Silva · 2020-10
Rowe · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Seokhyeon KoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · KO · R3
Ange LoosaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsDecision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06