UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
Moscow, Russia
9 Nov 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
72%
Ankalaev
28%
Lungiambula
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ankalaev
Ankalaev is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 41 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Lungiambula throws more volume but Ankalaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ankalaev's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lungiambula has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ankalaev
Lungiambula
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'8"
75"
Reach
+76"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ankalaev
Lungiambula
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.0
25.1
59.9
Performance Avg
33.9
43
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
30
Ankalaev
Lungiambula
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
59%
Strike Accuracy
47%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ankalaev
Lungiambula
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ankalaev
Lungiambula
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
20
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/17 fights
Ankalaev
Lungiambula
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ankalaev
Lungiambula
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ankalaev
Lungiambula
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
AnkalaevLungiambula
Strike Zones
Ankalaev
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedLungiambula
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ankalaev targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lungiambula absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ankalaev
RND
Lungiambula
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ankalaev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lungiambula · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Ankalaev · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Alex PereiraRating 6.6Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 4.6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Johnny WalkerRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Johnny WalkerUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Lungiambula · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · KO · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Sub · R1
Cody BrundageRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Markus PerezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01