UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira
Portland, USA
29 Aug 2009
Middleweight
VS
34%
Marquardt
66%
Maia
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:21
NM
Nate Marquardt
"The Great"
35 – 19
6'0"74" reachOrthodox47 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide48 yrsSouthpaw72" reach6'1"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maia

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Marquardt has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Marquardt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Marquardt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Marquardt
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"+
Reach
72"
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Marquardt
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
32.4
48.6
Performance Avg
50.8
46
Quality of Victory
40
59
Momentum Score
100
Marquardt
Maia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Marquardt
Maia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marquardt
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
33/39 fights
Marquardt
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Marquardt
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
55%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
11
4
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Marquardt
Maia
Striking5.7 / 1.8Volume3.5 / 5.0Grappling2.6 / 5.1Wrestling1.8 / 3.6Submission2.3 / 5.0Pressure6.4 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Marquardt
Strike Zones
Maia
Marquardt
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Maia
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Marquardt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Marquardt
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Marquardt · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.0W5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W5.5L3.1L5.2W1.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L5.5L2005-082008-092013-032016-102017-11
WinLossTrend

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Marquardt · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cezar FerreiraRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Vitor BelfortRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
W · KO · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Thiago SantosRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 198: Werdum vs Miocic · 2016-05

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

News & Media

Nate Marquardt · Demian Maia
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