Jake Matthews vs Bojan Velickovic — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura

Sydney, Australia

18 Nov 2017

Welterweight

77%

Matthews

23%

Velickovic

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Jake Matthews

"The Celtic Kid"

22 – 8

5'11"73" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 55

Bojan Velickovic

"Serbian Steel"

15 – 6

Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw76" reach6'0"

CFR 17

★ Official Result

Jake MatthewswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Bojan Velickovic · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Matthews

→

Actual result

Matthews wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Matthews is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Matthews's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

MatthewsVelickovic

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Matthews

Velickovic

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'11"

Height

+6'0"

73"

Reach

+76"

32+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

Matthews

Velickovic

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

55.2

16.5

48.4

Performance Avg

38.5

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Matthews

Velickovic

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.0

/ 10

5.8

/ 10

5.1

Style: Pressure

4.7

5.3

Style: Volume

4.8

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

4Distance4

0Clinch0

8Ground2

Matthews

Velickovic

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.2

/ 10

1.2

/ 10

2.9

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.8

3.8

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Matthews

Velickovic

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

18 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

24/30 fights

Chin rating based on

6/21 fights

Matthews

Velickovic

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

L · Sub · R3

W · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

L · Dec · R3

Upcoming

Matthews

Velickovic

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

44%

50%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Matthews

Velickovic

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.8

4.2

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.2

2.9

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.8

3.8

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.7

5.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

4.8

Matthews

Strike Zones

Velickovic

Matthews

Attacking

12 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Velickovic

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

12 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Matthews targets the head (83% of attacks) — Velickovic absorbs 83% of strikes there

🎯Velickovic targets the head (67% of attacks) — Matthews absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Matthews

RND

Velickovic

0/0R00/0

Matthews · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Carlston Harris

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

L · Sub · R3

Neil Magny

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

W · Sub · R1

Chidi Njokuani

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07

W · Dec · R3

Francisco Prado

Decision

UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02

W · Dec · R3

Phil Rowe

Decision

UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Velickovic · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Jake Matthews

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11

L · Dec · R3

Darren Till

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09

W · KO · R3

Nicholas Musoke

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05

L · Dec · R3

Sultan Aliev

Decision

UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12

Upcoming

Michael Graves

Decision

UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07

News & Media

Jake Matthews · Bojan Velickovic

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