METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2022
Featherweight
VS
44%
Trizano
56%
Almeida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:55
★ Official Result
Lucas AlmeidawinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:55
def. Michael Trizano · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almeida
→
Actual result
Almeida wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Trizano at 44% vs Almeida at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trizano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Trizano's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Almeida has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrizanoAlmeida
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trizano
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Trizano
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
36.9
54.4
Performance Avg
35.8
53
Quality of Victory
38
53
Momentum Score
33
Trizano
Almeida
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
4.5
7.1
Style: Volume
4.7
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
0
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground17
Trizano
Almeida
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trizano
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Trizano
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Trizano
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trizano
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
TrizanoAlmeida
Strike Zones
Trizano
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trizano targets the head (75% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (75% of attacks) — Trizano absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trizano
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Trizano · Last 5
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Lucas AlmeidaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Grant DawsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michael Aswell Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Timmy CuambaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Andre FiliKO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R2
Pat SabatiniSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06