UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2022
Featherweight
VS
44%
Trizano
56%
Almeida
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
This is a genuine toss-up — Trizano at 44% vs Almeida at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Trizano has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Trizano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trizano's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Almeida has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Trizano
Almeida
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
34+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Trizano
Almeida
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.9
36.9
54.4
Performance Avg
35.8
53
Quality of Victory
38
53
Momentum Score
33
Trizano
Almeida
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
18
0
Body
2
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
4Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground17
Trizano
Almeida
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trizano
Almeida
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
42
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
6/20 fights
Trizano
Almeida
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
33
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Trizano
Almeida
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trizano
Almeida
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
TrizanoAlmeida
Strike Zones
Trizano
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedAlmeida
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trizano targets the head (75% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Almeida targets the head (75% of attacks) — Trizano absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trizano
RND
Almeida
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Trizano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Trizano · Last 5
W · KO · R1
SeungWoo ChoiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
L · Sub · R2
Grant DawsonRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Michael Aswell Jr.Rating 2.6KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Timmy CuambaRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · KO · R1
Andre FiliRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Sub · R2
Pat SabatiniRating 3.8Submission
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