UFC 76: Knockout
Anaheim, USA
22 Sept 2007
Welterweight
VS
62%
Fitch
38%
Sanchez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Fitch
Fitch holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Fitch has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Sanchez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Fitch
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
72"
48
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Fitch
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
12.7
52.4
Performance Avg
46.0
32
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
20
Fitch
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
57%
Strike Accuracy
39%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch0
3Ground0
Fitch
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
3.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Fitch
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
14
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/37 fights
Chin rating based on
32/44 fights
Fitch
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Fitch
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
32%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
13
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fitch
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
FitchSanchez
Strike Zones
Fitch
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fitch targets the head (67% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fitch
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
Fitch · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Fitch · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Erick SilvaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar · 2012-10
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Upcoming
BJ PennDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09