METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
Fortaleza, Brazil
11 Mar 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
63%
Rua
37%
Villante
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:59
★ Official Result
Mauricio RuawinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:59
def. Gian Villante · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Rua
→
Actual result
Rua wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Rua holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Villante has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Villante throws more volume but Rua connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Villante has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RuaVillante
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rua
Villante
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"
Reach
76"
44
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Villante
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
20.4
49.7
Performance Avg
40.8
51
Quality of Victory
42
46
Momentum Score
33
Rua
Villante
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
42%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.5
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
3
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
17Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rua
Villante
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Villante
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
6
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
18/31 fights
Rua
Villante
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
33
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Rua
Villante
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
57%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Villante
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.5
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
RuaVillante
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedVillante
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the head (82% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Villante targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Villante
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rua · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10