METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Women's Bantamweight
VS
55%
Nunes
45%
Pennington
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:36
★ Official Result
Amanda NuneswinsKO/TKOR5 · 2:36
def. Raquel Pennington · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nunes
→
Actual result
Nunes wins
KO/TKO · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 55% vs Pennington at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pennington has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NunesPennington
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nunes
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
46.8
75.2
Performance Avg
46.8
66
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
80
Nunes
Pennington
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
3.7
4.8
Style: Volume
7.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Nunes
Pennington
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.3
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Nunes
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Nunes
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
23%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Pennington
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
NunesPennington
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedPennington
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (95% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the head (57% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaDecision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaSubmission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonSubmission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerDecision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Pennington · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddDecision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12