★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
12 May 2018
Women's Bantamweight
VS
55%
Nunes
45%
Pennington
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 5 · 2:36
AN
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
23 – 5
5'8"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Raquel
Raquel Pennington
"Rocky"
16 – 10
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 55% vs Pennington at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.

Striking split: Pennington throws more volume but Nunes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pennington has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nunes
Pennington
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Pennington
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
46.8
75.2
Performance Avg
46.8
66
Quality of Victory
32
100
Momentum Score
80
Nunes
Pennington
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
4
1
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Nunes
Pennington
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
2.3
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Pennington
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
68
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Nunes
Pennington
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Nunes
Pennington
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
23%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
6
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nunes
Pennington
Striking6.2 / 1.4Volume4.8 / 7.5Grappling2.4 / 3.7Wrestling1.7 / 2.6Submission1.9 / 2.3Pressure7.0 / 3.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.5
Nunes
Strike Zones
Pennington
Nunes
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 absorbed
Pennington
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY2LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (95% of attacks) — Pennington absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Pennington targets the head (57% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nunes
RND
Pennington
0/0R00/0

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W6.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.9W5.9W5.0W5.9W6.1W5.0W5.1W5.7W4.8W5.0W3.7L6.0W5.3W2013-082016-032018-122021-122023-06
WinLossTrend

Pennington · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W6.3L5.0W5.6L6.0W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.2L6.7L5.3W5.6L4.5W4.5W6.6W4.5W4.9W5.1W7.0L2013-112016-042019-072022-042024-10
WinLossTrend

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06

Pennington · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Aspen LaddRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · 2022-04
W · Sub · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

News & Media

Amanda Nunes · Raquel Pennington
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