UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Featherweight
VS
73%
Holloway
27%
Lamas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
27 – 9
5'11"69" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
RL
Ricardo Lamas
"The Bully"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holloway

Holloway is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Holloway throws more volume but Lamas connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lamas has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Holloway
Lamas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+71"
34+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Lamas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
20.7
56.8
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
44
63
Momentum Score
98
Holloway
Lamas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
18
4
Body
0
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
30Distance23
6Clinch4
0Ground0
Holloway
Lamas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holloway
Lamas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Holloway
Lamas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
98
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Holloway
Lamas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
64%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
11
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holloway
Lamas
Striking5.8 / 4.9Volume4.9 / 4.2Grappling1.7 / 3.0Wrestling1.2 / 2.1Submission0.9 / 2.7Pressure5.8 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Holloway
Strike Zones
Lamas
Holloway
Attacking
29HEAD4BODY3LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD0BODY9LEGS27 absorbed
Lamas
Attacking
18HEAD0BODY9LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD4BODY3LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (81% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Lamas targets the head (67% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holloway
RND
Lamas
0/0R00/0

Holloway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0102.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L7.5L5.2W6.2W5.5W5.0W4.5W6.0W6.4W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.7W5.7W5.7W6.8L4.5W7.0L7.0L5.0W6.1W7.0L5.9W5.7W7.1W5.1L5.8W6.9L2012-022014-082017-062021-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Lamas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.8W4.5W5.2W6.0L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.6L6.7W5.0W1.6L5.5L6.0W2.0L4.7W2011-062014-062016-112019-062020-08
WinLossTrend

Holloway · Last 5

Upcoming
Conor McGregor
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Lamas · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12

News & Media

Max Holloway · Ricardo Lamas
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