METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Featherweight
VS
73%
Holloway
27%
Lamas
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ricardo Lamas · UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Holloway throws more volume but Lamas connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lamas has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayLamas
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Lamas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
+71"
34+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Lamas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
20.7
56.8
Performance Avg
52.0
47
Quality of Victory
44
63
Momentum Score
98
Holloway
Lamas
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
18
4
Body
0
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
30Distance23
6Clinch4
0Ground0
Holloway
Lamas
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holloway
Lamas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
17/28 fights
Holloway
Lamas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
98
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Holloway
Lamas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
64%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
11
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Lamas
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
HollowayLamas
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedLamas
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (81% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 81% of strikes there
🎯Lamas targets the head (67% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Lamas
0/0R00/0
Holloway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Holloway · Last 5
Upcoming
Conor McGregorUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12