UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
Milwaukee, USA
14 Aug 2011
Featherweight
VS
32%
Hettes
68%
Caceres
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:12
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Caceres
Caceres holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Hettes has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Caceres throws more volume but Hettes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hettes
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
38
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hettes
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.1
39.7
44.8
Performance Avg
42.2
41
Quality of Victory
34
76
Momentum Score
76
Hettes
Caceres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Hettes
Caceres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hettes
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Hettes
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hettes
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hettes
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
HettesCaceres
Strike Zones
Hettes
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Caceres targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hettes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hettes
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
Hettes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hettes · Last 5
L · R1
Diego BrandaoRating 4UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04
L · KO · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Sub · R2
Robert WhitefordRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · Dec · R3
Marcus BrimageRating 5.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03