METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Featherweight
VS
87%
Ishihara
13%
Gutierrez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:32
★ Official Result
Teruto IshiharawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:32
def. Horacio Gutierrez · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ishihara
→
Actual result
Ishihara wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Ishihara is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ishihara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Ishihara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ishihara's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IshiharaGutierrez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
34+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
—
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
2.1
43.0
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
13
Momentum Score
0
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
25%
7.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
3
Body
0
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
IshiharaGutierrez
Strike Zones
Ishihara
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGutierrez
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ishihara targets the head (54% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Gutierrez targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Ishihara absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ishihara
RND
Gutierrez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ishihara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Gutierrez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Ishihara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho KangRating 2.4Submission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Petr YanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezRating 5.5Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Rolando DyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Gutierrez · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Teruto IshiharaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11