METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Featherweight
VS
87%
Ishihara
13%
Gutierrez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:32
★ Official Result
Teruto IshiharawinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:32
def. Horacio Gutierrez · UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ishihara
→
Actual result
Ishihara wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Ishihara is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Ishihara has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Risk flags
Ishihara's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IshiharaGutierrez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
69"
Reach
35
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
—
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.1
2.1
43.0
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
13
Momentum Score
0
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.4
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
3
Body
0
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/7 fights
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ishihara
Gutierrez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
IshiharaGutierrez
Strike Zones
Ishihara
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedGutierrez
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ishihara targets the head (54% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Gutierrez targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Ishihara absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ishihara
RND
Gutierrez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ishihara · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Kyung Ho KangSubmission
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Petr YanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Jose QuinonezDecision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · Dec · R3
Rolando DyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Redemption Finale · 2017-07
Gutierrez · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Teruto IshiharaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · Dec · R3
Enrique BarzolaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11