Thiago Silva vs Stanislav Nedkov — UFC Prediction, Odds & Win Probability

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le

Macau, China

10 Nov 2012

Light Heavyweight

57%

Silva

43%

Nedkov

Win Probability

Thiago Silva

19 – 6

6'2"74" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 25

Stanislav Nedkov

"Stucky"

12 – 2

Knockout Artist2-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'11"

CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 57% vs Nedkov at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Nedkov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

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Silva

Nedkov

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'2"+

Height

5'11"

74"+

Reach

71"

43+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Silva

Nedkov

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

24.7

18.9

60.6

Performance Avg

49.3

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Silva

Nedkov

Striking

Significant strikes per minute & accuracy

10.0

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

8.1

Style: Pressure

8.0

2.5

Style: Volume

0.7

6 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

10Distance0

0Clinch0

6Ground0

Silva

Nedkov

Grappling

Takedowns, submissions & wrestling

🥊

Pure striking matchup

Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history

Submission wins

Silva

Nedkov

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

7 fights ago

Last KO loss

1 fight ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

12/25 fights

Chin rating based on

4/14 fights

Silva

Nedkov

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

Upcoming

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

L · KO · R2

Upcoming

W · KO · R1

Silva

Nedkov

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

86%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva

Nedkov

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

10.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

0.3

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

0.2

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

8.1

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.0

2.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.7

Silva

Strike Zones

Nedkov

Silva

Attacking

16 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Nedkov

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

16 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Silva targets the head (56% of attacks) — Nedkov absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva

RND

Nedkov

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3

Matt Hamill

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

W · KO · R1

Rafael Cavalcante

KO/TKO

UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

Upcoming

Stanislav Nedkov

UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11

L · Dec · R3

Alexander Gustafsson

Decision

UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04

Upcoming

Brandon Vera

UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01

Nedkov · Last 4

L · Sub · R1

Nikita Krylov

Submission

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

L · KO · R2

Tom Watson

KO/TKO

UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02

Upcoming

Thiago Silva

UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11

W · KO · R1

Luiz Cane

KO/TKO

UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08

News & Media

Thiago Silva · Stanislav Nedkov

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