UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
Macau, China
10 Nov 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Silva
43%
Nedkov
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 57% vs Nedkov at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nedkov has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Nedkov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
74"+
Reach
71"
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Nedkov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
24.7
18.9
60.6
Performance Avg
49.3
54
Quality of Victory
60
100
Momentum Score
43
Silva
Nedkov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
51%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
0
4
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance0
0Clinch0
6Ground0
Silva
Nedkov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Silva
Nedkov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/25 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Silva
Nedkov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
Silva
Nedkov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Nedkov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SilvaNedkov
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedNedkov
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (56% of attacks) — Nedkov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Nedkov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Nedkov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · KO · R1
Rafael CavalcanteRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Upcoming
Stanislav NedkovUFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
L · Dec · R3
Alexander GustafssonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
Upcoming
Brandon VeraUFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
Nedkov · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 2.7Submission
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
L · KO · R2
Tom WatsonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
Upcoming
Thiago SilvaUFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08