METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Featherweight
VS
48%
Evloev
52%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Movsar EvloevwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Lerone Murphy · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Evloev wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evloev at 48% vs Murphy at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Murphy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvloevMurphy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evloev
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
72"
Reach
+73"
32+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evloev
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
65.5
55.0
Performance Avg
57.7
25
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
100
Evloev
Murphy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
5.0
10.0
Style: Volume
7.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
4
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
12Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Evloev
Murphy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evloev
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/20 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Evloev
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
10-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Evloev
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evloev
Murphy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
EvloevMurphy
Strike Zones
Evloev
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedMurphy
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evloev targets the head (58% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (75% of attacks) — Evloev absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evloev
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0
Evloev · Last 5
Upcoming
Alexander VolkanovskiUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingDecision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · Dec · R3
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Aaron PicoKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Dan IgeDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Edson BarbozaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05