UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Bantamweight
VS
50%
Jackson
50%
Barcelos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Montel
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
15 – 4
5'10"75" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
Raoni
Raoni Barcelos
22 – 5
Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"
CFR 52

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jackson

This is a genuine toss-up — Jackson at 50% vs Barcelos at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Barcelos throws more volume but Jackson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Jackson
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
67"
34+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.4
51.6
51.6
Performance Avg
49.8
40
Quality of Victory
34
48
Momentum Score
63
Jackson
Barcelos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.1
55%
Strike Accuracy
55%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
1
Body
3
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Jackson
Barcelos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jackson
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/19 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Jackson
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Jackson
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
36%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jackson
Barcelos
Striking4.7 / 3.3Volume5.8 / 6.6Grappling2.2 / 3.0Wrestling1.6 / 2.1Submission1.1 / 1.8Pressure5.2 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Jackson
Strike Zones
Barcelos
Jackson
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Barcelos
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (88% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jackson
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0106.2L5.3W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.4W6.0W5.8W6.6L6.3L2018-082020-072023-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Barcelos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5W5.7W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.5L6.4L4.5W2.8L6.2L6.3W6.0W5.6W5.2W5.4W2018-072020-112023-012025-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Jackson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel MarcosRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
W · KO · R1
Rani YahyaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

Barcelos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02

News & Media

Montel Jackson · Raoni Barcelos
← Back to fights