UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum
Monterrey, Mexico
21 Nov 2015
Featherweight
VS
62%
Lamas
38%
Sanchez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lamas
Lamas holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Sanchez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lamas has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lamas's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sanchez has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lamas
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+72"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lamas
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.7
12.7
52.0
Performance Avg
46.0
44
Quality of Victory
37
98
Momentum Score
20
Lamas
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
8
0
Body
1
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
15Distance7
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Lamas
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lamas
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
14
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/28 fights
Chin rating based on
32/44 fights
Lamas
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
20
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Lamas
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
32%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
13
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lamas
Sanchez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
LamasSanchez
Strike Zones
Lamas
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSanchez
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lamas targets the head (59% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (89% of attacks) — Lamas absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lamas
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
Lamas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Sanchez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Lamas · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Bill AlgeoRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Calvin KattarRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
W · KO · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Mirsad BekticRating 5.5Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Josh EmmettRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lawler vs. Dos Anjos · 2017-12
Sanchez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · R3
Michel PereiraRating 5.1UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · KO · R2
Mickey GallRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Craig WhiteRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09