UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos
Prague, Czech Republic
23 Feb 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
27%
Villante
73%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:34
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oleksiejczuk
Oleksiejczuk is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Oleksiejczuk has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Villante
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
40
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Villante
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
54.6
40.8
Performance Avg
55.3
42
Quality of Victory
53
33
Momentum Score
52
Villante
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
54%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
10
0
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Villante
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Villante
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Villante
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Villante
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
80%
4
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Villante
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.2
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
VillanteOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Villante
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (67% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (71% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Villante
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Villante · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Oleksiejczuk · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Villante · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
Upcoming
Abus MagomedovUFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
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