METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Ortiz
50%
Bader
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:56
★ Official Result
Tito OrtizwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:56
def. Ryan Bader · UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortiz
→
Actual result
Ortiz wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 50% vs Bader at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Striking split: Bader throws more volume but Ortiz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bader has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
OrtizBader
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ortiz
Bader
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
74"
51
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Bader
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
20.1
57.3
Performance Avg
54.2
57
Quality of Victory
40
85
Momentum Score
100
Ortiz
Bader
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ortiz
Bader
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Bader
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Ortiz
Bader
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ortiz
Bader
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortiz
Bader
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
OrtizBader
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBader
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (67% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Bader targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortiz
RND
Bader
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Bader · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Bader · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01