UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
Las Vegas, USA
2 Jul 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Ortiz
50%
Bader
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:56
TO
Tito Ortiz
"The People's Champ"
19 – 12
6'3"74" reachOrthodox51 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
RB
Ryan Bader
"Darth"
23 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak42 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'2"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortiz

This is a genuine toss-up — Ortiz at 50% vs Bader at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Striking split: Bader throws more volume but Ortiz connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Ortiz's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Bader has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ortiz
Bader
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'2"
74"
Reach
74"
51
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ortiz
Bader
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
20.1
57.3
Performance Avg
54.2
57
Quality of Victory
40
85
Momentum Score
100
Ortiz
Bader
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
51%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Ortiz
Bader
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.7
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ortiz
Bader
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
10
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/31 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Ortiz
Bader
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Ortiz
Bader
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
40%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ortiz
Bader
Striking5.8 / 4.8Volume3.8 / 6.3Grappling1.9 / 2.0Wrestling1.3 / 1.4Submission1.3 / 0.7Pressure5.9 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Ortiz
Strike Zones
Bader
Ortiz
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 absorbed
Bader
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY3LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ortiz targets the head (67% of attacks) — Bader absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Bader targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ortiz
RND
Bader
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W1.5L4.2W5.0W3.4L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.0W2.8L5.5L5.5L5.5L5.0W2.8L1.5L5.5L1997-052001-022005-022010-102012-07
WinLossTrend

Bader · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W4.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L5.0W1.9L4.5W4.5W5.1W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.2W5.2W2008-122011-022013-012015-012016-11
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5
Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10

Bader · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · KO · R2
Ilir LatifiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Anthony JohnsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
W · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Tito Ortiz · Ryan Bader
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