UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
Glendale, USA
12 Jun 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
57%
Murphy
43%
Wood
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Murphy
This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 57% vs Wood at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Murphy's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Wood has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Murphy
Wood
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"+
Reach
65"
42
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Wood
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
38.5
41.9
Performance Avg
39.8
34
Quality of Victory
31
87
Momentum Score
68
Murphy
Wood
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
3.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
36
8
Body
13
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
28Distance48
7Clinch11
0Ground0
Murphy
Wood
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Murphy
Wood
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
34
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
17/25 fights
Murphy
Wood
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Murphy
Wood
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
22%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Wood
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
MurphyWood
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedWood
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (77% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Wood targets the head (61% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Wood
0/0R00/0
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Wood · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
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Jessica AndradeRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Wood · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R1
Alexa GrassoRating 2.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Taila SantosRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06