METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
55%
Shevchenko
45%
Andrade
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:19
★ Official Result
Valentina ShevchenkowinsKO/TKOR2 · 3:19
def. Jessica Andrade · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Shevchenko
→
Actual result
Shevchenko wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 55% vs Andrade at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ShevchenkoAndrade
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Shevchenko
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
66"+
Reach
62"
38
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
51.0
66.5
Performance Avg
49.4
55
Quality of Victory
45
53
Momentum Score
79
Shevchenko
Andrade
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
3.1
58%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
2Clinch0
18Ground0
Shevchenko
Andrade
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shevchenko
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Shevchenko
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
79
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Shevchenko
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
53%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Shevchenko
Andrade
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
ShevchenkoAndrade
Strike Zones
Shevchenko
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedAndrade
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (95% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Shevchenko
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa GrassoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11