★ Championship Bout · Women's Flyweight
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Women's Flyweight
VS
55%
Shevchenko
45%
Andrade
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:19
Valentina
Valentina Shevchenko
"Bullet"
26 – 4
5'5"66" reachSouthpaw38 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 62
Jessica
Jessica Andrade
"Bate Estaca"
26 – 15
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox62" reach5'1"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Shevchenko

This is a genuine toss-up — Shevchenko at 55% vs Andrade at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Andrade has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shevchenko
Andrade
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
66"+
Reach
62"
38
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Shevchenko
Andrade
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.2
51.0
66.5
Performance Avg
49.4
55
Quality of Victory
45
53
Momentum Score
79
Shevchenko
Andrade
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
3.1
58%
Strike Accuracy
52%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
2Clinch0
18Ground0
Shevchenko
Andrade
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shevchenko
Andrade
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/30 fights
Chin rating based on
30/41 fights
Shevchenko
Andrade
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
79
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Upcoming
L · Sub · R4
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Shevchenko
Andrade
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
53%
4
KO / TKO Wins
6
2
Submission Wins
3
9
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shevchenko
Andrade
Striking4.3 / 4.7Volume6.5 / 4.9Grappling2.5 / 2.5Wrestling1.8 / 1.8Submission1.3 / 1.8Pressure5.3 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Shevchenko
Strike Zones
Andrade
Shevchenko
Attacking
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Andrade
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD1BODY0LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (95% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Andrade targets the head (100% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shevchenko
RND
Andrade
0/0R00/0

Shevchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W6.7L4.6W6.7W6.7L6.2W4.5W5.1W4.5W5.6W4.5W5.9W6.2W4.7W4.6L5.7W6.1W6.3W2015-122018-022020-112024-092025-11
WinLossTrend

Andrade · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0102.8L4.5W5.1W5.0W1.5L4.5W3.3L5.3W5.2W4.6W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W6.5W3.3L6.9L5.3W3.5L5.0W6.1W5.3W3.6L2.5L4.6L6.5W5.2W7.0L2.4L6.0L2013-072016-092020-072023-082025-08
WinLossTrend

Shevchenko · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Zhang WeiliRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Manon FiorotRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R5
Alexa GrassoRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
Upcoming
Alexa Grasso
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · Sub · R4
Alexa GrassoRating 4.6
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

Andrade · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4
Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11

News & Media

Valentina Shevchenko · Jessica Andrade
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