UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
San Antonio, USA
13 Sept 2025
Lightweight
VS
52%
Puelles
48%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Claudio
Claudio Puelles
"Prince of Peru"
13 – 5
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw30 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Joaquim
Joaquim Silva
"Netto BJJ"
14 – 6
Well-Rounded37 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'8"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Puelles

This is a genuine toss-up — Puelles at 52% vs Silva at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Puelles connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Puelles's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Puelles
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
69"
30+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Puelles
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
47.9
45.5
Performance Avg
46.0
39
Quality of Victory
38
78
Momentum Score
67
Puelles
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
10
4
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
10Distance8
2Clinch3
0Ground3
Puelles
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.8
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Puelles
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
30
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Puelles
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
67
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Puelles
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Puelles
Silva
Striking1.1 / 5.5Volume4.3 / 5.7Grappling5.8 / 1.4Wrestling4.0 / 1.0Submission6.0 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Puelles
Strike Zones
Silva
Puelles
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Puelles targets the head (67% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (71% of attacks) — Puelles absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Puelles
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Puelles · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0102.8L5.5W4.5W6.0W5.5W5.5W3.6L6.7L6.1L2016-112021-062022-112025-09
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.7L5.9W3.4L1.6L5.2W5.6L5.0W6.5L5.4W2015-092018-012021-062023-122025-09
WinLossTrend

Puelles · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Sub · R3
Chris GruetzemacherRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
Jesse RonsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

News & Media

Claudio Puelles · Joaquim Silva
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