UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
46%
Wiman
54%
Danzig
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Danzig
This is a genuine toss-up — Wiman at 46% vs Danzig at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Danzig has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Danzig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Wiman's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Danzig has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wiman
Danzig
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
42+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wiman
Danzig
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.4
17.9
46.3
Performance Avg
46.0
40
Quality of Victory
51
54
Momentum Score
65
Wiman
Danzig
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
14
3
Body
5
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance13
14Clinch6
5Ground0
Wiman
Danzig
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.2
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wiman
Danzig
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/33 fights
Wiman
Danzig
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
54
65
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Wiman
Danzig
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wiman
Danzig
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
WimanDanzig
Strike Zones
Wiman
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedDanzig
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wiman targets the head (86% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Danzig targets the head (74% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 74% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wiman
RND
Danzig
0/0R00/0
Wiman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Danzig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Wiman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
Danzig · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10