METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Bantamweight
VS
57%
Martinez
43%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jonathan MartinezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Vince Morales · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Martinez
→
Actual result
Martinez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Martinez at 57% vs Morales at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MartinezMorales
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Martinez
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
32+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Martinez
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.0
34.6
48.3
Performance Avg
32.0
36
Quality of Victory
37
63
Momentum Score
30
Martinez
Morales
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
3.1
6.1
Style: Volume
5.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
15
9
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
28Distance18
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Martinez
Morales
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Martinez
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Martinez
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Martinez
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Martinez
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
MartinezMorales
Strike Zones
Martinez
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedMorales
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (61% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (75% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Martinez
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
Martinez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Colby ThicknesseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Elijah SmithDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11