UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Las Vegas, USA
21 May 2022
Bantamweight
VS
57%
Martinez
43%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Jonathan
Jonathan Martinez
"Dragon"
19 – 6
5'8"70" reachSouthpaw32 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
VM
Vince Morales
"Vandetta"
16 – 11
Well-Rounded6-fight slide35 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Martinez

This is a genuine toss-up — Martinez at 57% vs Morales at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Morales throws more volume but Martinez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Martinez
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
32+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Martinez
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.0
34.6
48.3
Performance Avg
32.0
36
Quality of Victory
37
63
Momentum Score
30
Martinez
Morales
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
51%
Strike Accuracy
38%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
15
9
Body
5
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
28Distance18
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Martinez
Morales
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Martinez
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Martinez
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
30
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Martinez
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Martinez
Morales
Striking5.3 / 3.8Volume6.1 / 5.8Grappling1.4 / 1.6Wrestling1.0 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
Martinez
Strike Zones
Morales
Martinez
Attacking
17HEAD9BODY2LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Morales
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD9BODY2LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Martinez targets the head (61% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (75% of attacks) — Martinez absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Martinez
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0

Martinez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W3.6L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.8W5.9W6.7W6.0L7.2L2018-102020-082022-022023-102024-11
WinLossTrend

Morales · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0106.8L5.6W5.5L3.2L4.5W5.0W6.0L5.5L6.2L7.4L7.1L6.0L2018-112020-052022-052025-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Martinez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 6
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · KO · R2
Adrian YanezRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
W · KO · R2
Cub SwansonRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10

Morales · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Colby ThicknesseRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Elijah SmithRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11

News & Media

Jonathan Martinez · Vince Morales
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