METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Phoenix, USA
17 Feb 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
48%
Casey
52%
Calvillo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Cynthia CalvillowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cortney Casey · UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Calvillo
→
Actual result
Calvillo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Casey at 48% vs Calvillo at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Calvillo has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CaseyCalvillo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Casey
Calvillo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
67"+
Reach
64"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Casey
Calvillo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.5
29.8
40.3
Performance Avg
42.8
41
Quality of Victory
38
73
Momentum Score
25
Casey
Calvillo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.0
4.8
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
16
2
Body
2
10
Leg
4
RangeRange
26Distance22
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Casey
Calvillo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Casey
Calvillo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
48
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
13/15 fights
Casey
Calvillo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
25
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Casey
Calvillo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Casey
Calvillo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
CaseyCalvillo
Strike Zones
Casey
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedCalvillo
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Casey targets the head (56% of attacks) — Calvillo absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Calvillo targets the head (73% of attacks) — Casey absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Casey
RND
Calvillo
0/0R00/0
Casey · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Sub · R3
Gillian RobertsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · Sub · R1
Mara Romero BorellaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
Calvillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Andrea LeeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Jessica AndradeKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraDecision
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11