UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
Oakland, USA
7 Aug 2010
Lightweight
VS
53%
Guida
47%
Anjos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:51
Clay
Clay Guida
"The Carpenter"
38 – 22
5'7"70" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guida

This is a genuine toss-up — Guida at 53% vs Anjos at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Guida throws more volume but Anjos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Guida's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Guida
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guida
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
38.8
40.7
Performance Avg
47.7
35
Quality of Victory
41
78
Momentum Score
49
Guida
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
36%
Strike Accuracy
47%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Guida
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guida
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
4
8
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
37/60 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Guida
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
49
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Guida
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
43%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
5
11
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guida
Anjos
Striking2.1 / 3.1Volume5.9 / 5.7Grappling3.7 / 3.3Wrestling2.6 / 2.3Submission2.8 / 2.4Pressure4.2 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Guida
Strike Zones
Anjos
Guida
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guida targets the body (100% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the head (50% of attacks) — Guida absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guida
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0

Guida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.2W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.2W5.7W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.0L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.4L4.5W5.0W2.9L4.5W1.9L6.2L4.6W5.7L5.3W2.4L4.5W6.3L6.1L2.3L2006-102010-032015-042021-082024-12
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Guida · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Chase HooperRating 2.3
Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Sub · R1
Claudio PuellesRating 2.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Clay Guida · Rafael Dos Anjos
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