UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie
Los Angeles, USA
27 May 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
54%
Lister
46%
Sakara
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:20
DL
Dean Lister
"The Boogeyman"
13 – 7
6'1"75" reachOrthodox50 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
AS
Alessio Sakara
"Legionarius"
19 – 11
Striker4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lister

This is a genuine toss-up — Lister at 54% vs Sakara at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Sakara has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sakara has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lister
Sakara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
50
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lister
Sakara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.2
17.5
50.4
Performance Avg
46.1
40
Quality of Victory
48
75
Momentum Score
76
Lister
Sakara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
2.0
31%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Lister
Sakara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lister
Sakara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/20 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
Lister
Sakara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
76
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Lister
Sakara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lister
Sakara
Striking1.3 / 7.5Volume5.3 / 3.5Grappling5.2 / 0.8Wrestling3.6 / 0.6Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Lister
Strike Zones
Sakara
Lister
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Sakara
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lister targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sakara absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sakara targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lister absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lister
RND
Sakara
0/0R00/0

Lister · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.5L2006-052006-082007-012007-122008-062008-12
WinLossTrend

Sakara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.4
0104.5W1.5L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.0W6.3L1.5L4.0L1.5L2006-022007-092009-082012-112013-10
WinLossTrend

Lister · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 92: The Ultimate 2008 · 2008-12
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Dec · R3
Jordan RadevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 79: Nemesis · 2007-12
L · Dec · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Dec · R3
Yuki SasakiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 6 · 2006-08

Sakara · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Nicholas MusokeRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
L · R1
Patrick CoteRating 4
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
L · KO · R1
Brian StannRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann · 2011-03
W · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03

News & Media

Dean Lister · Alessio Sakara
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