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UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
7 Sept 2019
Lightweight
VS
67%
Barboza
33%
Felder
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Edson
Edson Barboza
"Junior"
24 – 14
5'11"75" reachOrthodox40 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 45
PF
Paul Felder
"The Irish Dragon"
17 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'11"
CFR 22
β˜… Official Result
Paul FelderwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Edson Barboza Β· UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barboza
β†’
Actual result
Felder wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

Barboza holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings β€” but Felder has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Barboza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barboza's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BarbozaFelder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Barboza
Felder
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barboza
Felder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.9
21.7
46.3
Performance Avg
49.0
40
Quality of Victory
42
60
Momentum Score
100
Barboza
Felder
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.3
46%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
9 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
19
6
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Barboza
Felder
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
β€”
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barboza
Felder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
88
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
β€”
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
β€”
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
32/38 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Barboza
Felder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
60
100
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· KO Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
L Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Barboza
Felder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
56%
9
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
1
9
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barboza
Felder
Striking6.1 / 5.6Volume5.1 / 4.8Grappling1.2 / 2.0Wrestling0.8 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 1.1Pressure5.2 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Barboza
Strike Zones
Felder
Barboza
Attacking
7HEAD6BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Felder
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD6BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barboza targets the head (47% of attacks) β€” Felder absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Felder targets the head (83% of attacks) β€” Barboza absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Barboza
RND
Felder
0/0R00/0

Barboza Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.2W5.6L4.5W3.3L4.5W4.5W6.2W5.5L5.5L6.4W3.1L5.5L6.2L4.6W5.5W3.7L6.5L6.2W5.3W7.0L6.5L2.7L2010-112014-042017-032021-052025-12
WinLossTrend

Felder Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W5.2W6.0L5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.7W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.4L5.7L2014-102016-012017-072019-092020-11
WinLossTrend

Barboza Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R1
Jalin TurnerRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 Β· 2025-12
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy Β· 2024-05
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Sodiq YusuffRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza Β· 2023-10
W Β· KO Β· R1
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Β· 2023-04

Felder Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R5
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos Anjos Β· 2020-11
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Dan HookerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker Β· 2020-02
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Edson BarbozaRating 5
Decision
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier Β· 2019-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
James VickRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez Β· 2019-02
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Mike PerryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier Β· 2018-07

News & Media

Edson Barboza Β· Paul Felder
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