METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Welterweight
VS
48%
Alves
52%
Millender
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:17
★ Official Result
Curtis MillenderwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:17
def. Thiago Alves · UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Millender
→
Actual result
Millender wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 48% vs Millender at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Alves throws more volume but Millender connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesMillender
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Millender
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Millender
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
18.0
47.3
Performance Avg
45.0
42
Quality of Victory
35
63
Momentum Score
70
Alves
Millender
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.5
45%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
15
3
Body
2
17
Leg
4
RangeRange
22Distance21
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Alves
Millender
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Alves
Millender
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Alves
Millender
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
70
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Alves
Millender
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
33%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Millender
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
AlvesMillender
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedMillender
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the legs (77% of attacks) — Millender absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Millender targets the head (71% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Millender
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alves · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Millender · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Alves · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
Millender · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2 · 2019-04
L · Sub · R1
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Siyar BahadurzadaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1Decision
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02