METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Vancouver, Canada
14 Jun 2014
Lightweight
VS
90%
Saggo
10%
Shockley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
★ Official Result
Jason SaggowinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:57
def. Josh Shockley · UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saggo
→
Actual result
Saggo wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Saggo is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Saggo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SaggoShockley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Saggo
Shockley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saggo
Shockley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
2.1
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Saggo
Shockley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.7
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch1
9Ground2
Saggo
Shockley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saggo
Shockley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Saggo
Shockley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Saggo
Shockley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saggo
Shockley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SaggoShockley
Strike Zones
Saggo
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedShockley
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saggo targets the head (90% of attacks) — Shockley absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Shockley targets the body (50% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saggo
RND
Shockley
0/0R00/0
Saggo · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovDecision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Justin SalasKO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
Shockley · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Ivan JorgeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Jason SaggoKO/TKO
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06