UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Vancouver, Canada
14 Jun 2014
Lightweight
VS
90%
Saggo
10%
Shockley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:57
JS
Jason Saggo
12 – 4
5'11"71" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
JS
Josh Shockley
11 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox6'1"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Saggo

Saggo is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Saggo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 48 points.

Saggo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Saggo
Shockley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
40
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saggo
Shockley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
2.1
49.0
Performance Avg
0.0
48
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
Saggo
Shockley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.6
42%
Strike Accuracy
32%
7.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
0
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch1
9Ground2
Saggo
Shockley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saggo
Shockley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
2/15 fights
Saggo
Shockley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Saggo
Shockley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saggo
Shockley
Striking7.7 / 0.0Volume3.7 / 0.0Grappling0.8 / 0.0Wrestling0.6 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Saggo
Strike Zones
Shockley
Saggo
Attacking
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Shockley
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD0BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saggo targets the head (90% of attacks) — Shockley absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Shockley targets the body (50% of attacks) — Saggo absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saggo
RND
Shockley
0/0R00/0

Saggo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5L3.0L2014-062014-102016-032016-062016-122017-09
WinLossTrend

Shockley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0101.5L5.5L2014-062015-02
WinLossTrend

Saggo · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Gilbert BurnsRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R1
Justin SalasRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Shockley · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Ivan JorgeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Jason SaggoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06

News & Media

Jason Saggo · Josh Shockley
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