UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
13 Feb 2021
Welterweight
VS
48%
Green
52%
Rowe
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Rowe
This is a genuine toss-up — Green at 48% vs Rowe at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Green throws more volume but Rowe connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Green
Rowe
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+80"
33+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Green
Rowe
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.8
57.0
45.9
Performance Avg
49.3
43
Quality of Victory
53
59
Momentum Score
52
Green
Rowe
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
54%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
2
Body
1
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
13Distance6
2Clinch1
3Ground1
Green
Rowe
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Green
Rowe
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
90
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/17 fights
Chin rating based on
9/18 fights
Green
Rowe
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
52
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Green
Rowe
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Green
Rowe
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
GreenRowe
Strike Zones
Green
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedRowe
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Green targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rowe absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rowe targets the head (63% of attacks) — Green absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Green
RND
Rowe
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Rowe · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.1WinLossTrend
Green · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Matheus CamiloRating 5.4Submission
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