★ Championship Bout · Women's Strawweight
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zhang
Shenzhen, China
31 Aug 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
42%
Andrade
58%
Weili
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Weili
This is a genuine toss-up — Andrade at 42% vs Weili at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Weili has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Andrade throws more volume but Weili connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade
Weili
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'4"
62"
Reach
+63"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Andrade
Weili
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
71.6
49.4
Performance Avg
66.9
45
Quality of Victory
60
79
Momentum Score
100
Andrade
Weili
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
16
1
Body
7
1
Leg
6
RangeRange
3Distance15
1Clinch13
0Ground1
Andrade
Weili
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Weili
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
13/30 fights
Andrade
Weili
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
Andrade
Weili
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
40%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Weili
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
AndradeWeili
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedWeili
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (50% of attacks) — Weili absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Weili targets the head (55% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Weili
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Weili · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Weili · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Tatiana SuarezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Yan XiaonanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Carla EsparzaRating 5.4Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11