METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
46%
Sobral
54%
Arsdale
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:21
★ Official Result
Renato SobralwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:21
def. Mike van Arsdale · UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arsdale
→
Actual result
Sobral wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Sobral at 46% vs Arsdale at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Arsdale throws more volume but Sobral connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Sobral's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SobralArsdale
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sobral
Arsdale
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
75"
Reach
50+
Age
61
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Sobral
Arsdale
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
18.1
49.2
Performance Avg
43.7
42
Quality of Victory
40
26
Momentum Score
71
Sobral
Arsdale
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
0
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
6Clinch0
1Ground0
Sobral
Arsdale
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sobral
Arsdale
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/48 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Sobral
Arsdale
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
71
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Sobral
Arsdale
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sobral
Arsdale
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
SobralArsdale
Strike Zones
Sobral
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedArsdale
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sobral targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Arsdale absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Arsdale targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sobral absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sobral
RND
Arsdale
0/0R00/0
Sobral · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Arsdale · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Sobral · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
David HeathRating 5.2Submission
UFC 74: Respect · 2007-08
L · KO · R2
Jason LambertRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 68: The Uprising · 2007-03
L · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 62: Liddell vs Sobral · 2006-08
W · Sub · R1
Mike van ArsdaleRating 5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2Submission
UFC 55: Fury · 2005-10
Arsdale · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Renato SobralRating 1.5Submission
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · Sub · R3
Randy CoutureRating 4Submission
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
John MarshRating 4.5Decision
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04
W · Sub · R1
Joe PardoRating 5Submission
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05