UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd
Sacramento, USA
13 Jul 2019
Bantamweight
VS
39%
Lopez
61%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Morales
Morales holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Lopez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Morales has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Lopez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lopez
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
70"
32+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Lopez
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.0
34.6
35.0
Performance Avg
32.0
25
Quality of Victory
37
61
Momentum Score
30
Lopez
Morales
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
22
2
Body
8
15
Leg
2
RangeRange
21Distance30
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Lopez
Morales
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lopez
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Lopez
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
30
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Lopez
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lopez
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
LopezMorales
Strike Zones
Lopez
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedMorales
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lopez targets the legs (71% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (69% of attacks) — Lopez absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lopez
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lopez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Morales · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Lopez · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Mario BautistaRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
Vince MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
L · Sub · R1
Manny BermudezRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Albert MoralesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Colby ThicknesseRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Raul Rosas Jr.Rating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Elijah SmithRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Taylor LapilusRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11