UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis
Paris, France
28 Sept 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Sy
45%
Jung
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sy
This is a genuine toss-up — Sy at 55% vs Jung at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jung has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Sy
Jung
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
83"+
Reach
78"
30+
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sy
Jung
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
46.4
51.8
Performance Avg
48.5
46
Quality of Victory
48
56
Momentum Score
50
Sy
Jung
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
5
4
Body
1
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance7
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Sy
Jung
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Sy
Jung
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Sy
Jung
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
50
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Sy
Jung
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sy
Jung
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
SyJung
Strike Zones
Sy
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedJung
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jung absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jung targets the head (71% of attacks) — Sy absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sy
RND
Jung
0/0R00/0
Sy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Jung · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Sy · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R1
Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
Tuco TokkosRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
Jung · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Oumar SyRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 5.9Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11