METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
New York City, USA
16 Nov 2024
Lightweight
VS
52%
Miller
48%
Jackson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:44
★ Official Result
Jim MillerwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:44
def. Damon Jackson · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Miller wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Miller at 52% vs Jackson at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jackson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jackson has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerJackson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Jackson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
71"
42
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Miller
Jackson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.5
40.5
51.5
Performance Avg
43.0
45
Quality of Victory
38
28
Momentum Score
59
Miller
Jackson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
8
2
Body
6
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance16
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Miller
Jackson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.0
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miller
Jackson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
18 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
47/58 fights
Chin rating based on
14/31 fights
Miller
Jackson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
59
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Miller
Jackson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
14
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Jackson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
MillerJackson
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedJackson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jackson targets the head (50% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Jackson
0/0R00/0
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Jackson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Miller · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jared GordonRating 5.4Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 6.3Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Damon JacksonRating 5.3Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Jackson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jim MillerRating 1.9Submission
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Dan IgeRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · 2023-01