METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger
New Orleans, USA
17 Sept 2011
Bantamweight
VS
87%
Stone
13%
Walker
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:40
★ Official Result
Ken StonewinsSubmissionR1 · 2:40
def. Donny Walker · UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stone
→
Actual result
Stone wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Stone is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stone has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Striking split: Stone throws more volume but Walker connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Stone's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoneWalker
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stone
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
43+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
—
Stone
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.3
2.4
43.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Stone
Walker
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
0.7
54%
Strike Accuracy
62%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
4
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
3Clinch0
1Ground0
Stone
Walker
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stone
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/25 fights
Stone
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Stone
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stone
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StoneWalker
Strike Zones
Stone
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedWalker
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stone targets the body (57% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the head (100% of attacks) — Stone absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stone
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
Stone · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.1WinLossTrend
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Stone · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Erik PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Dustin PagueRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Donny WalkerRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
Scott JorgensenRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
Walker · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Ken StoneRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ellenberger · 2011-09
L · Dec · R3
Jeff HouglandRating 5.5Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07