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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Lightweight
VS
44%
Ogden
56%
Zellhuber
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Trey
Trey Ogden
"Shamurai"
187
5'11"72" reachOrthodox36 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 34
Daniel
Daniel Zellhuber
"Golden Boy"
154
Well-Rounded3-fight slide27 yrsSwitch77" reach6'1"
CFR 43
★ Official Result
Trey OgdenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Daniel Zellhuber · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Zellhuber
Actual result
Ogden wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Ogden at 44% vs Zellhuber at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
OgdenZellhuber
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Ogden
Zellhuber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+27
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ogden
Zellhuber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
33.5
42.8
35.0
Performance Avg
37.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
40
Momentum Score
55
Ogden
Zellhuber
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
1.5
Style: Pressure
3.6
9.0
Style: Volume
6.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
10
2
Body
5
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ogden
Zellhuber
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ogden
Zellhuber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
7/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Ogden
Zellhuber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
55
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Ogden
Zellhuber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ogden
Zellhuber
Striking1.0 / 0.9Volume9.0 / 6.2Grappling2.4 / 4.3Wrestling1.7 / 3.0Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure1.5 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Ogden
Strike Zones
Zellhuber
Ogden
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY8LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD5BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Zellhuber
Attacking
10HEAD5BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY8LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ogden targets the head (60% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (59% of attacks) — Ogden absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ogden
RND
Zellhuber
0/0R00/0

Ogden · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago Moises
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Loik Radzhabov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Kurt Holobaugh
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
Upcoming
Nikolas Motta
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
L · Dec · R3
Ignacio Bahamondes
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04

Zellhuber · Last 5

L · KO · R2
King Green
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael Johnson
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Esteban Ribovics
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Francisco Prado
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
W · Sub · R2
Christos Giagos
Submission
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

News & Media

Trey Ogden · Daniel Zellhuber
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