UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song
Las Vegas, USA
17 Sept 2022
Lightweight
VS
47%
Ogden
53%
Zellhuber
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Zellhuber
This is a genuine toss-up — Ogden at 47% vs Zellhuber at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Zellhuber throws more volume but Ogden connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Ogden
Zellhuber
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
36
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Ogden
Zellhuber
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
42.8
35.0
Performance Avg
37.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
40
Momentum Score
55
Ogden
Zellhuber
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
34%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
10
2
Body
5
8
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance17
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ogden
Zellhuber
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ogden
Zellhuber
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/19 fights
Ogden
Zellhuber
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
55
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Ogden
Zellhuber
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ogden
Zellhuber
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
OgdenZellhuber
Strike Zones
Ogden
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedZellhuber
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ogden targets the head (60% of attacks) — Zellhuber absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Zellhuber targets the head (59% of attacks) — Ogden absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ogden
RND
Zellhuber
0/0R00/0
Ogden · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Zellhuber · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Ogden · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 5.7Decision
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L · KO · R2
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