UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Las Vegas, USA
14 Dec 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
25%
Eye
75%
Araujo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JE
Jessica Eye
"Evil"
15 – 11
5'6"66" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
Viviane
Viviane Araujo
"Vivi"
13 – 7
Well-Rounded39 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'4"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Araujo

Araujo is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Eye throws more volume but Araujo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Eye's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Eye
Araujo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
66"
Reach
+68"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eye
Araujo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
49.0
28.6
Performance Avg
38.7
26
Quality of Victory
29
30
Momentum Score
84
Eye
Araujo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
17
Body
3
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
36Distance21
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Eye
Araujo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.9
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Eye
Araujo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Eye
Araujo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Eye
Araujo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Eye
Araujo
Striking0.7 / 2.5Volume7.1 / 7.9Grappling1.9 / 2.1Wrestling1.3 / 1.4Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
Eye
Strike Zones
Araujo
Eye
Attacking
12HEAD17BODY9LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Araujo
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD17BODY9LEGS38 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Eye targets the body (45% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Araujo targets the head (76% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 76% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Eye
RND
Araujo
0/0R00/0

Eye · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.5L4.2W6.4L7.0L5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W4.8W3.5L5.2W5.5L5.7L5.5L6.5L2014-022016-052018-122021-012022-07
WinLossTrend

Araujo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.8L4.9W6.7L5.6L4.5W7.0L5.7W6.2L2019-052021-012023-032025-06
WinLossTrend

Eye · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12

Araujo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Jessica Eye · Viviane Araujo
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