METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Las Vegas, USA
14 Dec 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
25%
Eye
75%
Araujo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jessica EyewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Viviane Araujo · UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Araujo
→
Actual result
Eye wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Araujo is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Eye's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EyeAraujo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Eye
Araujo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'4"
66"
Reach
+68"
40
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eye
Araujo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
49.0
28.6
Performance Avg
38.7
26
Quality of Victory
29
30
Momentum Score
84
Eye
Araujo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.0
Style: Pressure
2.6
7.1
Style: Volume
7.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
16
17
Body
3
9
Leg
2
RangeRange
36Distance21
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Eye
Araujo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Eye
Araujo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
13/20 fights
Eye
Araujo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Eye
Araujo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
14%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eye
Araujo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
EyeAraujo
Strike Zones
Eye
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedAraujo
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eye targets the body (45% of attacks) — Araujo absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Araujo targets the head (76% of attacks) — Eye absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eye
RND
Araujo
0/0R00/0
Eye · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodDecision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R5
Cynthia CalvilloDecision
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoDecision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
Araujo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tracy CortezDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Karine SilvaDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasDecision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03