METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Jun 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
51%
Maldonado
49%
Kingsbury
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FM
Fabio Maldonado
"Caipira de Aco"
23 – 11
6'1"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
KK
Kyle Kingsbury
"Kingsbu"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Kyle KingsburywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Fabio Maldonado · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maldonado
→
Actual result
Kingsbury wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Maldonado at 51% vs Kingsbury at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Maldonado has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maldonado's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MaldonadoKingsbury
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maldonado
Kingsbury
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
75"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Maldonado
Kingsbury
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
16.5
39.8
Performance Avg
38.0
36
Quality of Victory
34
81
Momentum Score
74
Maldonado
Kingsbury
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
1.0
63%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
9
12
Body
6
0
Leg
9
RangeRange
28Distance18
5Clinch6
1Ground0
Maldonado
Kingsbury
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maldonado
Kingsbury
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/34 fights
Chin rating based on
9/17 fights
Maldonado
Kingsbury
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
74
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Maldonado
Kingsbury
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maldonado
Kingsbury
Striking4.9 / 3.4Volume5.7 / 6.9Grappling1.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.0 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Maldonado
Strike Zones
Kingsbury
Maldonado
Attacking
22HEAD12BODY0LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD6BODY9LEGS24 absorbed
Kingsbury
Attacking
9HEAD6BODY9LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD12BODY0LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maldonado targets the head (65% of attacks) — Kingsbury absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Kingsbury targets the head (38% of attacks) — Maldonado absorbs 38% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maldonado
RND
Kingsbury
0/0R00/0

Maldonado · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5L5.5L5.1L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.6L5.2W5.5L5.5L2010-102012-102014-032015-042015-11
WinLossTrend

Kingsbury · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L1.9L4.8L5.5L2008-122011-022012-052014-07
WinLossTrend

Maldonado · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · KO · R2
Hans StringerRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · KO · R1
Stipe MiocicRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Kingsbury · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 4.8
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06

News & Media

Fabio Maldonado · Kyle Kingsbury
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