UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Santos
59%
Ivanov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ivanov
This is a genuine toss-up — Santos at 41% vs Ivanov at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Santos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Santos
Ivanov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
5'11"
77"+
Reach
73"
42
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Santos
Ivanov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
27.2
57.8
Performance Avg
30.0
53
Quality of Victory
25
59
Momentum Score
50
Santos
Ivanov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
41%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
10 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
14
16
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
37Distance15
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Santos
Ivanov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Santos
Ivanov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
90
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
7
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
8/25 fights
Santos
Ivanov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
50
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Santos
Ivanov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
10
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Santos
Ivanov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
SantosIvanov
Strike Zones
Santos
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedIvanov
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the head (54% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Ivanov targets the head (82% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 82% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Santos
RND
Ivanov
0/0R00/0
Santos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ivanov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Santos · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
Ivanov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.1Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11